São Paulo state predicts more than 100,000 deaths in six months from Covid-19

The scenario with traffic restrictions foresees 1,300 deaths before April 13, while if no measure were applied that number would rise to almost 5,000, and the half-yearly, to 277,000.

The Brazilian state of Sao Paulo has extended the quarantine measures for two weeks but anticipates that, even with these restrictions, the new coronavirus will leave at least 111,000 dead in its jurisdiction in the next six months. Sao Paulo, the most populous state in Brazil with 45.9 million inhabitants, totals 304 deaths from Covid-19, 54.9% of the national total (553 deaths), and 4,861 cases out of a total of 12,056, according to data of the Ministry of Health.
São Paulo state predicts more than 100,000 deaths in six months from Covid-19
News Update, Sao Paulo, Brazil. - The Brazilian state of Sao Paulo has extended the quarantine measures for two weeks but anticipates that, even with these restrictions, the new coronavirus will leave at least 111,000 dead in its jurisdiction in the next six months.
Sao Paulo, the most populous state in Brazil with 45.9 million inhabitants, totals 304 deaths from Covid-19, 54.9% of the national total (553 deaths), and 4,861 cases out of a total of 12,056, according to data of the Ministry of Health.
The scenario with traffic restrictions foresees 1,300 deaths until April 13, while if no measure were applied that number would rise to almost 5,000, and the half-annual number, to 277,000, said the director of the state-owned Butantan Institute, Dimas Covas, in Press conference.
"Without any type of measure, we would have 277,000 deaths in the state of Sao Paulo, but with the measures, we are going to avoid 166,000 deaths," he said, along with the state governor, Joao Doria.
"This is so that we have a dimension of what awaits us," he added, at a time when the controversy intensified between far-right President Jair Bolsonaro, opposed to quarantines in the name of preserving economic activity, and most of the governors and a good part of their ministers.
Covas added that Compliance with quarantine will reduce the number of consultations in health centers for coronavirus symptoms from 1.3 million to 670,000 in the next six months.
Sao Paulo state has 12,547 beds in intensive care and half are already occupied, he reported.
Tighter controls
Doria extended for another two weeks, until April 22, the quarantine that went into effect on March 24. With the measure, only businesses considered essential, such as supermarkets and pharmacies, will continue to operate.
The mayor of the city of Sao Paulo (state capital), Bruno Covas, acknowledged that the movement of people had increased in recent days and indicated that the authorities were studying to reinforce controls.
"If we continue to see people on the streets, meeting unnecessarily, we will complement the decree with other measures," he warned.
Doria recalled that the state security forces are authorized to disperse agglomerations.
The governor, a right-wing politician seen as presidential for the 2022 elections, collided with Bolsonaro, an ex-ally.
"We are going to act based on science," Doria reiterated on Monday.
"Those who defend [commercial] openness, defend crowds and minimize the situation we are in, are they going to bury the victims?" Asked Doria, referring to his controversies with Bolsonaro.
Doria praised the position of Health Minister Luiz Henrique Mandetta, against whom Bolsonaro multiplied the attacks in recent days.
Brazilian media took for granted on Monday the dismissal of Mandetta.
His substitute, according to those versions, could be the deputy and former minister Osmar Terra, who stated in a column published this Monday that he shares Bolsonaro's anti-quarantine position. "I admire the President's courage to position himself against a current of panic," Terra wrote.
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